X Factor 2008 - Week 8, Who is going out now?

Ruth Lorenzo is the Evan money favourite to go out this week. It is certainly not a bet I will be placing.

If she finds herself in the bottom two sing off against JLS, I think she could blow them away with her power. The only way perhaps JLS could survive in this situation is if the Judges took it to deadlock with the decision resting solely on the Public Vote. JLS are seemingly more popular than Ruth.

Here are the full current odds on each acts chances of being voted out the X Factor this week.

Ruth Lorenzo 1/1
J L S 15/8
Alexandra Burke 5/1
Eoghan Quigg 12/1
Diana Vickers 14/1

The Market looks as if its shaping up to price a final of Diana Vickers verses Eoghan Quigg. There are still a few fences to be jumped yet, and anyone can take a tumble before the final run in.

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing 2008 - Who is going in Week 11?

Week 11 in Strictly Come Dancing and there are just 5 people left who can win. All 5 definitely have a chance in the closest series the show has ever had.

Here is how the market values the chances of each celebrities chances of being eliminated.

Lisa Snowdon 11/10
Christine Bleakley 2/1
Rachel Stevens 4/1
Tom Chambers 12/1
Austin Healey 12/1

Lisa Snowdon is the favourite to go. I would not be confident putting any money on this, Lisa has topped the leaderboard in this contest on two separate occasions. Christine has very strong public support and Rachel Stevens has only dropped a single point in two weeks.

So who is going to go then?

I haven't the faintest idea! Have you?

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing 2008 - Week 11, Latest Odds to Win !!!

Week 10 saw two of the Strictly Come Dancing Celebrities leave the contest. First in dramatic fashion, John Sergeant and then, through more conventional means, Jodie Kidd.

The contest is really too close to call this year, but here is how the Market currently values each Celebrities chances of winning.

Austin Healey 7/4
Tom Chambers 2/1
Rachel Stevens 11/4
Christine Bleakley 7/1
Lisa Snowdon 12/1

Austin Healey has edged out slightly to 7/4 and is now more or less the same odds as Tom Chambers to win.

The rapid improving Rachel Stevens looks fantastic value at 11/4. Last week she scored 39 and this week a perfect 40. If she maintains this form, Rachel will be virtually impossible to beat.

Christine has undoubtedly got very strong support with the voting public, but it looks very much as if this will finally develop into a three-way tussle between Rachel, Tom & Austin. I would personally bet on Rachel, simply down to the great odds offered.

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing 2008 - Week 10, Who is going out next?... tricky

With John Sergeant finally doing the decent thing and pulling out of Strictly Come Dancing, it has really thrown the competition wide open. Entertaining as he was, there was a serious threat developing of John actually winning the whole show! This would have been rather silly, but quite amusing none the less.

At a Press Conference,John said, "It was always my intention to have fun on the show and I was hoping to stay in as long as possible. The trouble is that there is now a real danger that I might win the competition. Even for me that would be a joke too far. I would like to thank Kristina and all those viewers who have been rooting for me through the series."

Respect to Mr Sergeant. I think it was the was the right decision, made at the right time. Apparently anybody that voted for him this week, will get a refund. Oh well, you can't say fairer than that I suppose. It will be strange without him there this week... it will be a bit like watching a dancing competition.

Here is now how the market looks on who will be eliminated next,

Jodie Kidd 10/11
Christine Bleakley 5/2
Lisa Snowdon 7/2
Rachel Stevens 10/1
Tom Chambers 20/1
Austin Healey 33/1

Jodie Kidd is odds on to go, but I don't think it is as cut and dry as that. The competition is extremely close and now, without John Sergeant getting the majority of viewers votes, any one can end up in the bottom two dance off. With John gone, the voting public may adopt a new hero and that could very well be Jodie Kidd.

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing - Week 10, Their Odds to Win

Yes, it's true... John Sergeant is still in the competition. Of course, it's because of his amazing dancing prowess and nothing to do with the voting mad Public voting. John to win? Well you can currently get odds of 16/1.

Cherie Lunghi surprisingly went out last week, having to tackle one of the tricky latin style dances which everyone seems to struggle on. Here are the latest odds on who the betting market think most likely to win.

Austin Healey 6/5
Tom Chambers 9/4
Rachel Stevens 6/1
Lisa Snowdon 8/1
Christine Bleakley 12/1
John Sergeant 16/1
Jodie Kidd 25/1

After her last two improved performances, Rachel Stevens is looking great value at 6/1. Lisa Snowdon has topped the leaderboard before and is at 8/1.

However, the market just wants to know about Austin Healey. His odds are very short. So short in fact, that the Bookmakers don't seem to want people to bet on him. I wonder why?

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X Factor 2008 - Week 7, Eoghan Quigg to win?

Can Eoghan Quigg win this years X Factor?

As each week goes by, it's looking like he could.

Cheryl Cole's original acts of Laura White, Alexandra Burke and Diana Vickers were so strong in the betting market it was very hard to look elsewhere for the eventual winner. But, Laura White is gone, Diana Vickers is still recovering from illness and Alexandra Burke is now joint second favourite with the improving Eoghan.

Louis Walsh has always maintained that Eoghan would reach the final, but I seriously had my doubts... until now. He doesn't have the most powerful voice in the world, but a quality pitch and smooth tone. You could imagine him selling records and having Number ones.

I'm still behind Diana Vickers to win, but a final between her and Eoghan Quigg would be quite exciting to see. Down to just the Public Vote, guessing the winner would be extremely unpredictable.

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X Factor 2008 - Week 7 - The Latest Odds to Win

Last week we saw the exit of Daniel Evans after a bottom two clash with Rachel Hylton. Ruth Lorenzo escaped the sing off this time round so perhaps the British public are finally warming to her. Here are the latest quoted odds on who will win the X Factor 2008!

Diana Vickers 13/8
Eoghan Quigg 11/4
Alexandra Burke 11/4
J L S 9/2
Ruth Lorenzo 20/1
Rachel Hylton 33/1

Diana Vickers has had her troubles these last couple of weeks recovering from severe laryngitis and although still the favourite, she is not as strong as she was.

Most significant in the Market is that Simon Cowell's, Eoghan Quigg, has moved up to become joint second favourite with Alexandra Burke. That is an interesting move. Acts that improve like this historically have a good chance of winning.

JLS remain steady in the middle of the pack with Ruth Lorenzo and Rachel Hylton some way behind. These two have shown however, when caught in a bottom two sing off, are capable of beating anyone. Both girls would be dangerous to come directly up against.

This week should be a cracker!

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I'm a Celebrity, What are my Chances of Winning?

The yearly Jungle show hasn't even properly started yet, but already the Bookmakers are quoting odds on the eventual winner. I suppose it is not much of a surprise really, such is the popularity of the show. Ever since the Celebrities for Get Me out of Here! were revealed, interest has grown to the usual expected frenzy.

If anything can be drawn at this early or pre-early stage, here are the market odds of victory.

Joe Swash 7/2
Simon Webbe 4/1
Martina Navratilova 7/1
George Takei 7/1
Esther Rantzen 8/1
Carly Zucker 8/1
Dani Behr 12/1
Brian Paddick 12/1
Robert Kilroy Silk 14/1
Nicola McLean 14/1

Ex-Eastenders star is installed as the early favourite from Simon Webb, formally of the boyband Blue.

Robert Kilroy Silk has never been in a Boyband or Eastenders or indeed very popular which may explain why he is not very favoured to win. He is however, equally favoured to glamour model Nicola Mclean, who is largely unknown to just about every one outside her own house.

I'm hoping that Mr Sulu wins, aka George Takei. He never let the Starship Enterprise down so I'm definitely with him. If Martina Navratilova turns out to be a Klingon, then it could really get interesting.

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X Factor 2008 - Week 6, Which Mentor will win? The Current Odds !

The brightly lit path of the X Factor 2008 has been a bit controversial this year. Good acts that you think may have a chance of winning seem to quickly get shown the exit door. First Austin Drage, who didn't really put a foot wrong and then the following Week, the shock elimination of Second Favourite Laura White.

Who will go next? Who knows, the results at the moment seem completely random. Here is how the current market values each of the four mentor's chances of winning.

Cheryl Cole 4/11
Simon Cowell 5/1
Louis Walsh 5/1
Dannii Minogue 12/1

It's been a tough week for Cheryl Cole's acts. She unbelievably lost the talented Laura White and the unique Diana Vickers is still desperately trying to recover from Laryngitis. Despite all these problems, Cheryl is still quoted at odds-on to win. Cheryl should still do it, but at these odds is looking fragile, and it would be a brave person to take these on.

Dannii Minogue is the only Mentor to have all three acts left in the competition, but is quoted as the rank outsider at 12/1. Her secret weapon appears to be Daniel Evans, who has found some support with the voting public. To be fair, he is a long way off being the best act.

Simon Cowell has Eoghan Quigg and Louis Walsh, improving boyband JLS.

If Cheryl were to lose another act this week, then the X Factor would become very interesting indeed.

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing - Week 8/9, Could Tom Chambers snatch it?

Tom Chambers may be behind favourite Austin Healey to Win 2008's Strictly Come Dancing, but he is definitely the more consistent of the two. Austin has had the odd bad week, but Tom is yet to put a dancing foot wrong.

His Quickstep this week was fantastic. An inventive and impressive start, the dance held energy and excitement right until the final beat.

Tom Chambers's performance here score 36 points to claim joint top of the leaderboard with the comeback queen, Cherie Lunghi and, the vastly improving, Lisa Snowden. All three of these could threaten Healey's chances of victory.

The Bookmakers all have Austin Healey as the strong favourite to win, but I think Tom Chambers could just beat him by a short head at the line. It maybe a photo-finish with both Cherie Lunghi and Lisa Snowden also in the picture.

This promises to be one of the closest finishes ever... unless John Sergeant makes it to the final of course, then it won't be worth watching. Hopefully his run soon ends and Strictly Come Dancing turns into a proper dance competition again as it was originally intended.

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing - It's Week 9, Who is going out this time ?

Not many weeks left to go now. Week 9 marks the start of serious territory in the BBC Strictly Come Dancing show. Here is how the betting market values each celebrities chances of being eliminated from the dance floor this time round.

John Sergeant 8/11
Jodie Kidd 9/4
Christine Bleakley 7/1
Rachel Stevens 12/1
Lisa Snowdon 14/1
Cherie Lunghi 14/1
Tom Chambers 50/1
Austin Healey 66/1

John Sergeant is odds on to go, which probably means he won't. Judges have never seemed to grasp in these contests, the worse you say about a performance, the more the Public vote for the performer to stay in. There will be plenty of bad things to say about John this week. That is a given.

Taking the Sergeant Factor into account, Jodie Kidd looks extremely vulnerable. Jodie was very appreciative that the voting Public kept her in last week and has promised to give a great performance in thanks.

Rachel Stevens scored a fantastic 35 points last week, but still ended up in the bottom two with seemingly very little or no Public voting support. You need the Public behind you on Strictly Come Dancing otherwise it is very difficult to win. If this pattern continues, the bottom two this week could well be Rachel Stevens verses Jodie Kidd.

If this is the case, Jodie would have to pull off something pretty stunning to stay in the running.

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X Factor 2008 - Week 6, Latest Odds to Win

After a bizarre week, which saw the loss of Second Favourite, Laura White, here is how the odds have changed on who is to Win the X Factor 2008.

Diana Vickers 1/1
Alexandra Burke 5/2
J L S 5/1
Eoghan Quigg 5/1
Ruth Lorenzo 25/1
Rachel Hylton 33/1
Daniel Evans 50/1

Just seven acts left in now. Despite not even performing this week, Diana Vickers shortens to become the Even Money favourite to win. She missed the latest show due to Laryngitis. It may be a good idea for Daniel Evans to echo the move this week as surely he must go this time.

Louis Walsh's JLS are coming into play nicely. I'm really started to like these boys. It would be great to see them win against the odds to become the first ever group to win.

Eoghan Quigg holds steady at 5/1 while Ruth Lorenzo and Rachel Hylton are still at massive odds of 25/1 and 33/1. These odds are way too big in my opinion. We have seen that when either one lands in the bottom two sing off, they can deliver a performance that is simply, out of this world.

In a sing off, Lorenzo and Hylton are highly capable of knocking anyone out of the contest. If they were to ever meet each other in this way, the Judges decision would be virtually impossible.

Danni Minogue remains the only Mentor to have all three acts left in the competition. She must be doing something right. What it is though, is a bit of a mystery.

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BBC Strictly Come Dacing - Week 9, The Latest Odds to Win

Week 8 in Strictly come dancing was a bit of a bad week for Austin Healey. He escaped the bottom two however and his odds in the betting market to win are virtually unchanged.

Austin Healey 5/4
Tom Chambers 5/2
Cherie Lunghi 5/1
Lisa Snowdon 8/1
Rachel Stevens 10/1
Christine Bleakley 16/1
John Sergeant 33/1
Jodie Kidd 33/1

It was a great week for Tom Chambers. He finished joint top of the leaderboad with 36 for his Quickstep. His odds now shorten to 5/2.

The odds of Rachel Stevens winning Strictly Come Dancing continue to drift outwards and she is now looking a bit of an outsider. This is quite surprising. She has taken quite a few weeks to hit her true potential, but this week Rachel really nailed it with the American Smooth. 35 points however was not enough with inadequate votes from the viewers at home.

It is rumoured that a great percentage of the viewers votes are either going to Cherie Lunghi or the hapless John Sergeant.

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X Factor 2008 - Week 5, The Next Elimination

God was on Daniel Evans side last week. He somehow managed to survive Disco week despite facing the wrath of the Judges. He was odds on to go out, but escaped the bottom two singoff completely. Louis face when it was announced, in no particular order, that Evans was through, was an absolute picture.

It is Mariah Carey Song week this time. Here are the odds on the next elimination,

Daniel Evans 4/7
Rachel Hylton 7/2
Ruth Lorenzo 6/1
J L S 10/1
Eoghan Quigg 14/1
Alexandra Burke 50/1
Laura White 66/1
Diana Vickers 66/1

Daniel is an even stronger favourite to be voted out this time at 4/7. If he gets another roasting from the Judges however, the public may get behind him and vote again. In recent years this seems to be the general pattern, most famously evident with the Scottish duo, The McDonald Brothers, a few years back.

I would be surprised if Daniel is not in the bottom two though... but yes, I thought that last week also!

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing - Week 7 - Who is next to fall? Latest Odds

Week 7 of Strictly Come Dancing is a bit of an odd week. Each celebrity is performing a different dance. Sounds like voting chaos to me. Here are the latest odds on each Celebrity's chances of leaving the dance floor for good,

Heather Small 2/1
Andrew Castle 2/1
John Sergeant 7/2
Jodie Kidd 11/2
Lisa Snowdon 14/1
Christine Bleakley 14/1
Rachel Stevens 66/1
Cherie Lunghi 66/1
Tom Chambers 80/1
Austin Healey 80/1

Heather Small and Andrew Castle are joint favourites at 2-1 to go and I think this is probably about right.

John Sergeant will survive again this week, no matter what. That is a given. So in order to avoid the bottom two, Heather and Andrew are perhaps reliant on a slip up from either Jodie, Lisa or Christine.

Andrew Castle looks particularly vulnerable this time round. He is performing the Samba this week which could be a problem.

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X Factor 2008 - Week 4 - Who will be Eliminated ?

Week 4 is Disco Week on the X Factor 2008. Here is how the betting market views each acts chances of being voted out the competition.

Daniel Evans 8/13
Ruth Lorenzo 4/1
Rachel Hylton 6/1
J L S 11/1
Eoghan Quigg 14/1
Austin Drage 25/1
Alexandra Burke 25/1
Laura White 100/1
Diana Vickers 100/1

Daniel Evans seems a dead cert to go out. He is odds on at 8/13. With the talented Ruth Lorenzo and Rachel Hylton next behind him, I'm afraid I'm inclined to agree. So strong are this years acts, its hard to envisage any other outcome.

It's tough to guess who will feature in the bottom two sing off against Daniel this week, but Cheryl Cole's acts should be safe. Burke, White and Vickers are all rank outsiders to go.

Group mentor, Louis Walsh, will be praying once again his sole remaining act manages to stay in. If they land in the bottom two, this is the one act that Daniel Evans perhaps has a chance of beating.

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BBC Strictly Come Dancing - Week 6 - The 6th Elimination ?

Week 6 of the BBC's Strictly Come Dancing contest will see the remaining celebrities perform either the Paso Doble or the Viennese Waltz. It does not always reflect accurately on the Night, but here are the odds on who is favourite to be eliminated this Saturday.

Heather Small 2/1
Mark Foster 9/4
Andrew Castle 7/2
John Sergeant 4/1
Jodie Kidd 10/1
Lisa Snowdon 25/1
Christine Bleakley 25/1
Rachel Stevens 50/1
Cherie Lunghi 66/1
Tom Chambers 100/1
Austin Healey 100/1

You can pretty much draw a pencil line through John Sergeant. The public love him and will vote for him no matter what. Last week, 16 points (an average of 4 per Judge) was enough to see him through.

In the previous round, no celebrity who finished in the bottom three with the Judges, ended up in the bottom two overall. Taking this into account, it looks as if Heather Small may find herself in the dance-off for the third week running. She isn't the worst out there, and I think she can survive again at the detriment to either Mark Foster or Andrew Castle.

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X Factor 2008 - Who will win? Week 3 odds

So, who will win 2008's X Factor competition. Here is how the market currently values each acts chances of success.

Diana Vickers 2/1
Laura White 3/1
Alexandra Burke 5/1
Austin Drage 6/1
Eoghan Quigg 7/1
J L S 9/1
Rachel Hylton 16/1
Scott Bruton 25/1
Ruth Lorenzo 33/1
Daniel Evans 66/1

Diana Vickers has become the favourite to win which makes mentor, Cheryl Cole's acts, now first, second and third favourite to win. This has never happened before in the competition and if Cheryl does not win, it will be a major shock.

Louis Walsh's sole remaining Group act, JLS, are looking vulnerable at 9-1 and Ruth Lorenzo is way overpriced at 33-1. Granted, she did finish in the bottom two last week, but her survival performance of Purple Rain was out of this world.

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BBC Strictly - First week for the women - Latest Odds

If you have been following Strictly Come Dancing this year, you will know that this week sees the women contestants compete for the first time. Below are the latest odds in the market for who will be voted out first.

Gillian Taylforth 7/4
Jessie Wallace 11/4
Cherie Lunghi 7/2
Jodie Kidd 5/1
Heather Small 7/1
Lisa Snowdon 20/1
Christine Bleakley 20/1
Rachel Stevens 40/1

Cherie Lunghi is a little short at 7/2. In practice she has looked pretty good and I don't think there is much chance of her bailing out on her opening week. Clips of her with partner, James Jordon, show her to be impressive. A BBC biography from several years ago described her as "skilled at ballet, ballroom, jazz and tap-dancing". Hmmmm, could be an unfair advantage there. Although some time ago, it appears that Cherie Lunghi is a trained dancer. This is something the Bookies don't seem to be taking into account in their calculations.

I think the public will vote for Gillian Taylforth if she finishes bottom after the Judges scoring so my prediction for the bottom two this week are Jodie Kidd and Jessie Wallace. Make sure you watch the show this Evening !!!

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BBC Strictly - Come on John Sergeant !!!

Ever since the Celebrity lineup was announced for this season's Strictly Come Dancing, John Sergeant has been one of the rank outsiders. He first opened up at 80-1 with the Bookies, then after a competent performance in week 1 moved in to 50-1, but this week has since drifted out to 66-1 despite escaping the bottom two in the opener.

His performance shown above, courtesy of the BBC and YouTube with new dance partner, Kristina Rhianoff, was a good first week opener where the older celebrities have a history of going out early.

It looks as if John's odds will continue to fluctuate between 50-1 and about 80-1, but I'm hoping he goes a lot further than expected. He will be good at the slow waltzes and other classic ballroom dances, but anything a bit quicker could be a problem. The public always vote well for amusing performances or spirited efforts despite the odds and difficulties so this could well play into his favour. Get voting for John !!! :)

Gillian Taylfoth is still favourite to go out first in the women's section on Monday. She is reportedly carrying an injury. Will this win her a few extra votes... most probably.

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