Week 7 was Take That week on X Factor 2008. Alexandra Burke gave the kind of performance we have perhaps come to expect and went safely through to Week 8 avoiding the dreaded bottom two sing off. Mentor Cheryl Cole would have been pleased.
Unfortunately though, Alexandra is starting to lose favour in the betting market. It is not thought that she can win the contest. Very early on, she was Favourite to win. She was soon overtaken by Diana Vickers and this week, has slipped to third favourite behind Simon Cowells, Eoghan Quigg. This does not look good.
Although a powerful singer, you have to compare Alexandra to the other acts in the contest. What makes her unique, what makes her stand out. This is maybe a problem. The others you could hear on the radio and identify, Alexandra is not so easy. I wish her well, but progress may now start to get a bit tricky.
There are just 5 acts left in this years X Factor Competition. Just one act will go on to win the coveted recording contract... all though to be fair.. most of these Acts will now be snapped up by someone. Simon Cowell probably, no one can deny, that the X Factor is one of the best promotional tools ever devised!
Here are the latest odds on who will Win!
Diana Vickers 13/8 Eoghan Quigg 9/4 Alexandra Burke 3/1 J L S 5/1 Ruth Lorenzo 16/1
Diana Vickers remains steady as the Favourite. She has maintained favouritism for quite some time now. Oddly this may make her vulnerable. The Public generally like to see an underdog win and if she finds herself in the final against Eoghan Quigg, she could have a problem.
Eoghan moves Second Favourite for the first time and is gaining support. He probably has the weakest voice of the solo acts left in, but is arguably the most marketable in terms of potential record sales.
JLS found themselves in the bottom two sing-off last week, which would seem to indicate they may not have quite enough power to take the title. The very underrated Ruth Lorenzo remains at the back of the field at a staggering 16/1. In a one on one sing-off, Ruth can beat anyone act left, which will be a big worry for everyone else.
Last week we saw the exit of Daniel Evans after a bottom two clash with Rachel Hylton. Ruth Lorenzo escaped the sing off this time round so perhaps the British public are finally warming to her. Here are the latest quoted odds on who will win the X Factor 2008!
Diana Vickers 13/8 Eoghan Quigg 11/4 Alexandra Burke 11/4 J L S 9/2 Ruth Lorenzo 20/1 Rachel Hylton 33/1
Diana Vickers has had her troubles these last couple of weeks recovering from severe laryngitis and although still the favourite, she is not as strong as she was.
Most significant in the Market is that Simon Cowell's, Eoghan Quigg, has moved up to become joint second favourite with Alexandra Burke. That is an interesting move. Acts that improve like this historically have a good chance of winning.
JLS remain steady in the middle of the pack with Ruth Lorenzo and Rachel Hylton some way behind. These two have shown however, when caught in a bottom two sing off, are capable of beating anyone. Both girls would be dangerous to come directly up against.
For 2 Weeks running the X Factor finalists have topped the Charts!
Even if they don't win, any act will be able to walk proudly away knowing they have had a number 1 hit. This is a massive achievement.
Well done to the finalists!
Will they manage a third week at the top? It will be tricky. Beyonce charted at Number 2 this week and her single only comes out to buy in shops from today. Britney's come back song is at number 4 and Christine Aguilera is also in the mix.
All proceeds from the Charity single go to Help for Heroes and the British Legion Poppy appeal.
Four weeks in and he has already lost two acts. Scott Bruton in Week 3 and Austin Drage this week. Eoghan Quigg is his last hope.
Can he do it? Well it doesn't look good, but of the male acts left, Eoghan is the most favoured at 6/1. Simon's main aim must be to get him to the final. That would be a great achievement in a very difficult year.
Louis Walsh just has one act left and is 8/1 to win.
His Boyband, JLS, are getting better every week and one feels there is an outside glimmer of hope after an awful start for Louis losing two acts in as many weeks. The Glimmer of hope is a fairly faint one however.
JLS are also quoted at 8/1 to win the contest.
Mentor, Dannii Minogue has all 3 of her acts still in the X Factor Competition, but they are the least favoured acts.
Rachel Hilton, Ruth Lorenzo and Daniel Evans at odds of 20/1, 25/1 and 66/1. It is unlikely that Daniel Evans can survive much longer.
Dannii is the rank outsider to be victorious at 10/1.
Cheryl Cole is seemingly the run away favourite this year. She has all 3 acts left in, and they are the best acts. She is the short priced favourite at 1/4 odds on.
She is mentoring Diana Vickers, Laura White and Alexandra Burke at odds of 6/4, 3/1 and 7/2.
It is hard to see anyone other than Cheryl Cole being the winning Mentor this year...
She is 25/1 to go out of X Factor this week? I don't think so. Make that 500/1, Alexandra Burke is on fire!
If a female act doesn't win X Factor this year, I will quite literally eat my own feet. Any of a number of the women are potential winners, not least of all the magnificent Alexandra Burke. Her Big Band performance last week of Candy Man was simply brilliant.
A great Big Band song which I think you'll agree, suited her very well. Expect another great performance this week where Miss Burke will be in full Disco mode.
In a few weeks time, the X Factor competition is going to get extremely tight.
So, who will win 2008's X Factor competition. Here is how the market currently values each acts chances of success.
Diana Vickers 2/1 Laura White 3/1 Alexandra Burke 5/1 Austin Drage 6/1 Eoghan Quigg 7/1 J L S 9/1 Rachel Hylton 16/1 Scott Bruton 25/1 Ruth Lorenzo 33/1 Daniel Evans 66/1
Diana Vickers has become the favourite to win which makes mentor, Cheryl Cole's acts, now first, second and third favourite to win. This has never happened before in the competition and if Cheryl does not win, it will be a major shock.
Louis Walsh's sole remaining Group act, JLS, are looking vulnerable at 9-1 and Ruth Lorenzo is way overpriced at 33-1. Granted, she did finish in the bottom two last week, but her survival performance of Purple Rain was out of this world.
As we approach the start of week 2's Live Shows, never has there been a stronger mentor favourite to win than Cheryl Cole. Unusually in the competition, she is presented with 3 quality acts all more than capable of winning. Cole has really hit the jackpot with this group and she is already quoted at odds of 4/7 on to win. That is absolutely astounding! This is Cheryl's first series as a mentor and she must be loving it. She is really going to have to go out of her way if she wants to lose this.
Her Acts are Laura White, Alexandra Burke and Diana Vickers who are ranked 1st, 2nd and 4th in the market respectively. Not only has Cheryl got the best acts by far, but she has also the luxury of 3 gifted singers with their own unique styles. I suppose there's still a small chance Cheryl will not win, but by the same token, there's also a small chance that I win the National Lottery 3 weeks running.
Fourth favourite, Diana Vickers. More than capable of winning and probably would have done if she was in the contest last year,
Second Favourite, Alexandra Burke. Singing a rather obvious song here in week 1, but showing she has the style and appeal of the incredible Leona Lewis who won 2 years ago.
And my personal favourite and also the listed Favourite, Laura White. Just incredible for week 1.
Never has one Mentor's acts been as strong as this and is pretty much unlikely that they will again. This is like a Football Tournament between Brazil, Chad, Kenya and Partick Thistle. Who will win?
The voting public do not usually favour strong favourites and the past has seen them vote against the trend, but surely they can not vote against all three. Laura White, Alexandra Burke or Diana Vickers should be the eventual winner.
Tonight, mentor Louis Walsh will surely be fearing losing 2 acts in as many weeks.
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